Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.425973 0.490388 0.560857 0.643619 0.738109 0.842577 0.966794
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.348023 0.438318 0.545781 0.682886 0.852949 1.056759 1.319370
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.285733 0.390749 0.525722 0.711377 0.959562 1.279316 1.721983
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.237090 0.349959 0.505711 0.735300 1.063980 1.516272 2.184514
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.202038 0.320091 0.494049 0.767331 1.183872 1.792505 2.746405
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.168363 0.285082 0.467983 0.772901 1.265527 2.026382 3.285504
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.145847 0.262679 0.456472 0.797738 1.379359 2.324380 3.967726
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.122574 0.234139 0.429480 0.791788 1.441211 2.547894 4.563839
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.106954 0.215850 0.416368 0.806642 1.539617 2.844784 5.326019
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.089962 0.191490 0.387767 0.787947 1.573966 3.033683 5.924164
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081653 0.182531 0.386458 0.820279 1.707905 3.420524 6.939460
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075216 0.176136 0.388949 0.860184 1.862125 3.865830 8.127700
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066043 0.162207 0.373953 0.862417 1.942425 4.182279 9.116295
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057819 0.148778 0.357686 0.859162 2.010789 4.484648 10.121393
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050978 0.137237 0.343590 0.858325 2.084316 4.808292 11.219018
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045433 0.127764 0.332616 0.862832 2.170666 5.171808 12.456411
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041499 0.121665 0.328735 0.883825 2.299161 5.647589 14.015450
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036829 0.112567 0.315647 0.879398 2.364948 5.987367 15.304713
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033851 0.107616 0.312485 0.900188 2.497410 6.503835 17.090019
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029963 0.099139 0.298239 0.888686 2.544149 6.816603 18.415342
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027438 0.094279 0.293243 0.902043 2.659676 7.318541 20.290731
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024055 0.085936 0.276620 0.879112 2.671436 7.553556 21.502989
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022735 0.084113 0.279204 0.913590 2.851985 8.261883 24.078715